XRP Under Persistent Downward Pressure: Technical Signals, Market Context, and What Investors Should Watch Next

Main Points :

• Recent 4-hour XRP charts show a clear short-term bearish trend.
• The 7-period EMA has crossed below the 28-period EMA, forming a decisive death cross.
• The 28-EMA is acting as a strong resistance level suppressing any rebound attempts.
• Broader market sentiment (BTC dominance, macro liquidity, SEC/Fed policy, Ripple ecosystem updates) continues to influence XRP’s outlook.
• For bullish reversal, XRP must reclaim both the 7-EMA and 28-EMA with strong volume confirmation.

Introduction: XRP’s Fight Against Persistent Selling Pressure

Ripple’s XRP continues to face downward pressure in mid-November 2025 as technical indicators show clear signals of short-term weakness. On the 4-hour chart, both the price structure and moving averages indicate an active bearish phase that traders must pay attention to. A notable death cross between the 7-period and 28-period EMAs has intensified sellers’ control, creating a heavy resistance zone above the current price.

This article provides a comprehensive, investor-focused analysis that goes beyond simple chart commentary. It explores XRP’s short-term price behavior, macroeconomic conditions, regulatory topics, Ripple ecosystem developments, and broader altcoin trends — all essential for readers looking for the next opportunity in crypto markets.

To start, let us visualize the basic structure of the technical trend currently shaping XRP’s price behavior.

This chart illustrates the relationship between the 7-EMA, 28-EMA, and price movements.

1: Technical Overview – The Bearish Structure Becomes Clear

1.1 Death Cross Confirms Bearish Momentum

XRP’s recent 4-hour chart shows the 7-period EMA crossing below the 28-period EMA. In technical analysis, this pattern is known as a death cross, a traditional signal that downward momentum is strengthening and that sellers have taken control of the short-term trend.

The characteristics observed include:

• Price trading below both EMAs
• Rejection at the 28-EMA during rebound attempts
• Increasing volatility during downward swings

These are classical signs of reinforced bearish sentiment.1.2 EMAs as Resistance: Why the 28-EMA Matters

Among the resistances, the 28-period EMA stands out as a dominant ceiling. In the current structure, XRP fails repeatedly to close above it. When short-term rallies lack momentum or volume, traders often interpret it as confirmation that selling pressure remains intact.

In technical contexts:

• The 7-EMA reflects immediate sentiment
• The 28-EMA captures medium-term trend strength

For a sustainable rebound, XRP must reclaim both EMAs decisively.

2: Short-Term Scenario Analysis

2.1 Bearish Case – Retesting Recent Lows

As long as XRP remains suppressed below the 28-EMA, the market is likely to retest prior support levels. Traders should remain cautious, as repeated EMA rejections often precede deeper pullbacks.

Likely bearish developments:

• Breakdown toward $0.52–$0.50
• Weak counter-trend bounces
• Increasing open interest on short positions
• Limited spot accumulation

Unless new catalysts emerge, the bearish scenario remains the high-probability path.2.2 Bullish Case – Conditions Required for Trend Reversal

A bullish reversal requires more than just a minor bounce. XRP needs structural confirmation:

1. Price must break above the 7-EMA
2. Next, price must decisively reclaim the 28-EMA
3. Volume must increase during the breakout
4. EMAs themselves need to flatten and begin turning upward
5. RSI must recover above the neutral 50 level
6. Higher lows must form on the 4-hour chart

At the moment, these elements are not yet present.

3: Market Context – Factors Influencing XRP’s Performance

To understand whether XRP can reverse its trend or not, macro factors must be considered.3.1 Bitcoin Dominance and Liquidity Flows

In late 2025, Bitcoin dominance has remained firm near multi-month highs. Historically, when BTC dominance expands:

• Liquidity shifts away from altcoins
• XRP and similar assets often struggle to maintain upward momentum
• Traders prefer BTC during periods of uncertainty

If broader liquidity begins moving back to altcoins, XRP could benefit significantly — but that transition has not yet begun.3.2 Global Macro Conditions: USD Liquidity & Interest Rates

While inflation has been slowly stabilizing, the global financial environment is still restrictive. High interest rates reduce speculative appetite and favor risk-off behavior.

This impacts crypto in two ways:

1. Reduced institutional capital allocation
2. Lower leverage availability

As long as USD liquidity remains tight, altcoins like XRP must rely on unique catalysts to outperform.3.3 Regulatory Landscape: XRP’s Ongoing Narrative

Although Ripple secured partial legal clarity in the past, regulatory risk remains:

• The U.S. continues pursuing structured control over crypto assets
• Global regulators, including Japan’s FSA and Singapore’s MAS, have strengthened reporting standards
• The Philippines, Hong Kong, and the EU have introduced new travel rule enforcement layers

XRP, being tied to institutional adoption and cross-border payments, is more sensitive to regulatory waves than typical memecoins or utility tokens.

4: Ripple Ecosystem Updates – What Traders Should Watch

4.1 Ripple’s Institutional Partnerships

Ripple continues expanding its institutional network, particularly in the APAC region. Partnerships with remittance providers, banks, and fintechs help generate ecosystem value for XRP in the long run.

However, in the short term, these developments do not always translate into immediate price action.4.2 XRP Ledger Growth and Tokenization Demand

XRP Ledger (XRPL) continues to see interest from tokenization projects:

• Real-world assets (RWA)
• Loyalty points
• Institutional settlement tools

The XRPL AMM (automated market maker) model also continues to attract liquidity providers, although recent volatility reduced some capital inflows.

A healthy XRPL environment can help XRP stabilize once technical indicators improve.

5: Comparison with Other High-Potential Altcoins

For readers seeking new crypto assets or next revenue sources, XRP’s situation must be compared with broader altcoin flows.

Recent market behavior shows:

• Solana (SOL) maintaining strong developer traction
• SUI experiencing rising ecosystem liquidity
• ETH benefiting from Layer-2 expansion
• XRP lagging due to technical resistance zones

Investors rotating into strong narratives — such as AI tokens, RWA tokens, or high-TPS chains — may temporarily reduce interest in XRP.

Yet historically, XRP often performs strongly after extended consolidation phases.

6: What XRP Traders Should Monitor Next

To anticipate a trend reversal, traders should watch:

6.1 Break Above the 28-EMA

A close above $0.57–$0.58 (depending on current EMA levels) would show renewed strength.

6.2 Volume Spike on Breakout

Healthy bullish momentum always comes with increased volume.

6.3 Market-Wide Sentiment Shift

If Bitcoin cools down and liquidity shifts to altcoins, XRP will follow.

6.4 XRPL On-Chain Metrics

• Active addresses
• AMM liquidity inflows
• New token issuance
• DEX transaction volume

These metrics help identify early trends before price reacts.

Conclusion – XRP’s Bearish Phase Is Clear but Not Permanent

XRP remains in a clear short-term downtrend, driven by:

• A confirmed death cross
• Persistent resistance from the 28-EMA
• Weak rebound attempts
• Broader market pressure from BTC dominance and global macro tightening

However, history shows that XRP often rebounds strongly after prolonged suppression. A structural shift — with price reclaiming both EMAs — would provide the first meaningful signal for bullish traders aiming for new opportunities.

For investors seeking new assets, revenue streams, and practical blockchain applications, XRP’s current weakness may represent a future accumulation opportunity once trend reversal signals emerge.