Is Bitcoin Treasury a Buy? The Overlooked Investment Opportunity in BTC-Holding Corporations

Table of Contents

Key Points:

  • Analyst Mark Moss likens BTC-holding firms to early 20th-century factories investing in electrification while maintaining existing infrastructure.
  • These companies employ hybrid strategies—using traditional finance (debt and equity) while accumulating Bitcoin—to capture asymmetric upside.
  • Market sentiment remains skeptical: BTC-treasury companies trade at steep discounts, often around 1.6× BTC holdings, versus the ~30× multiples of S&P 500 firms.
  • Even during Bitcoin’s record highs (~$124,000 in August 2025), equity prices of treasury-holding firms underperformed, affected by liquidations and ETF outflows.
  • Recent data: public companies now hold collectively over 964,079 BTC (~$103 billion), with MicroStrategy holding about 629,000 BTC.
  • New valuation metrics like P/BYD (Price-to‑Bitcoin Yield Delivered) are proposed to evaluate these unconventional firms more meaningfully.
  • The debate persists: Are these firms undervalued and ripe for growth, or accurately priced given crypto’s volatility and regulatory risk?

1. A Modern Parallel to the Electrification Era

Investor and analyst Mark Moss compares today’s BTC-holding corporations to factory owners of the early 1900s. Those industrialists did not abandon gas infrastructure but strategically reinvested their profits into building electric systems, gaining leadership in a transformative era. Similarly, modern firms are maintaining conventional operations while channeling capital into Bitcoin reserves—a strategy Moss calls “the most obvious arbitrage opportunity of our time.”

2. The Hybrid Financial Strategy

What differentiates BTC-treasury firms is their financial agility. They capitalize on traditional corporate tools—raising debt, issuing equity—while simultaneously taking advantage of Bitcoin’s volatility. This allows for a hybrid model: disciplined finance coupled with asymmetric upside from digital assets. If managed well, Moss argues, such firms could even outperform traditional financial and tech equities.

3. Market Skepticism and Valuation Gap

Despite this strategy, markets remain skeptical. Many BTC-holding firms trade at extraordinarily low multiples—some as low as 1.6× the value of their Bitcoin holdings—far below the ~30× average for S&P 500 firms. This valuation gap underscores a significant mispricing that analysts argue may be unjustified.

Even as Bitcoin rallied to ~$124,000 in August 2025, corporate BTC holdings stocks lagged or declined, weighed down by approximately $1 billion in liquidations and nearly $300 million in ETF outflows.

4. Expanding Corporate BTC Holdings

Institutional appetite for Bitcoin in corporate treasuries is growing dramatically. As of August 2025, public companies collectively hold approximately 964,079 BTC—a sum valued at over $103 billion. MicroStrategy remains the largest single holder, with around 629,000 BTC. Companies like MARA and Bitcoin Standard Treasury Co. (Adam Back’s firm, preparing a Nasdaq listing with over 30,000 BTC) are expanding this trend. Trump Media also made headlines with a $2 billion BTC purchase.

5. Innovative Valuation Methods: P/BYD

Traditional valuation metrics fall short for BTC-treasury firms, which often lack stable cash flows and instead build value through balance sheet growth in Bitcoin. Financial Times introduces a satirical yet thoughtful metric—P/BYD (Price-to‑Bitcoin Yield Delivered)—which estimates how long it would take for a company’s Bitcoin yields to “pay back” its valuation, akin to a P/E ratio but based on BTC yield. This underscores both the valuation complexity and speculative nature of these firms.

6. Risk vs. Upside: A Dividing Debate

Investors and analysts remain divided. Some see the undervaluation and structural advantages as indicators of a major opportunity, while others point to the risks: Bitcoin’s volatility, regulatory uncertainty, and operational leverage via debt. For example, public companies have seen share prices rise up to 650% when Bitcoin soared (~160% gain), but the model is exceedingly sensitive to downturns. Investors are advised to assess each company’s core business, BTC exposure, and risk profile.
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7. Broader Industry Context and Insights

Beyond corporate treasuries, other investment approaches are emerging. BCA Research suggests that crypto equities are a smart play on Bitcoin’s bull cycles, but also warn of their high beta—making them explosive in booms and risky in busts. Diversified ETFs like BITQ, FDIG, DAPP, and CRPT offer reduced risk exposure.

Value investors like Bill Miller IV remain bullish on Bitcoin itself, calling it “significantly undervalued” and likening its long-term potential to become a payments infrastructure or fiat alternative.

Conclusion

Corporations that accumulate Bitcoin on their balance sheets represent a pioneering intersection of mainstream finance and digital assets. By blending debt and equity strategies with aggressive crypto exposure, they mirror industrial pioneers who bet on transformative technologies.

Yet, markets have not fully embraced their value—these companies often remain priced at deep discounts. For investors seeking asymmetric returns and comfortable with elevated risk, they may present a compelling opportunity. Still, due diligence is critical: one must assess each firm’s business fundamentals, debt exposure, regulatory posture, and BTC strategy.

As this trend gains momentum, novel valuation frameworks like P/BYD may help investors better understand and compare these unconventional equity plays. Ultimately, whether this is a misunderstood goldmine or justified caution remains to be proven by performance and regulatory evolution.

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